 [초점] 불붙은 시베리아 횡단철도 연결사업 {필독}
[초점] 불붙은 시베리아 횡단철도 연결사업
경원선 북한구간 현대화 위해 러시아-북한 협력 구체화
지난 3월 17일 니콜라이 악쇼넨코 러시아 철도부장관은 전세기편으로 평양에 도착, 북한 고위층과 시베리아 횡단철도(TSRㆍTrans Siberian Railway)와 한반도 종단철도(TKRㆍTrans Korean Railway) 연결을 위한 실무협의를 진행했다.
이것은 지난 2월 말 한-러 정상회담 공동성명에서 언급된 철도 연결사업을 구체화하기 위한 것이다.
극동의 보스토니치항이 종착지인 시베리아 철도를 남으로 연장하여 하산~두만강~나진~원산~서울~부산으로 잇는 작업은 단절된 경원선의 휴전선 구간(31km) 복원이라는 소극적 의미뿐만 아니라 세계 물류의 흐름에" 혁명적(革命的) 변환(變換)을 "가져올 프로젝트라는 평가를 받는다.
두 철도의 연결 과정에서 최대의 걸림돌은 북한이다.
북한 철도는 선로 상황과 신호체계 등이 워낙 낙후되어 평균 시속이 30km 미만이며, 전력 부족으로(북한은 대부분의 철도가 전철화되어 있다) 몇 시간이면 주파할 거리를 며칠씩 걸려 운행하고 있는 것이 현실이다.
알렉산드르 첼코 러시아 철도부 차관은 시베리아 철도와 연결될 두만강역~휴전선까지 북한측 930km 구간의 철도 현대화사업에 10억달러를 예상하고 있으며, 이 예산을 러시아가 부담할 용의가 있다고 밝혔다.
러시아는 현금투자 대신 레일과 침목, 신호체계, 기관차와 화차 등을 제공하는 방식을 검토 중이라고 한다.
정보 소식통에 의하면 현재 극동 러시아 지역에는 레일 6만여개와 화차 6000량 정도가 확보돼 있어 언제라도 투입이 가능한 상황이다.
러시아는 지난해 2월 9일 북한과 ‘러ㆍ북 친선선린 및 협조조약’을 맺었다. 당시 북한은 1996년 9월에 폐기된 러시아의 자동 군사 개입 조항 복원이 주요 의제였던 반면 러시아는 시베리아 철도 연결을 위한 경원선 복원을 들고 나왔다.
김정일 국방위원장은 자동 군사 개입 조항 복원에 실패한 대신 러시아로부터 실질적인 군사협력을 약속받는 대가로 시베리아 철도 연결사업을 수락한 것으로 알려졌다.
북한 철도 현대화사업은 러시아가 레일과 침목, 기관차 등을 제공하고 공사는 김영춘 인민무력성 총참모장이 책임을 맡아 인민군 10군단 예하 병력을 투입하는 방안이 추진되고 있다. 문제는 경원선이 통과하는 ‘철의 삼각지대’가 북한의 주공로(主攻路)이자 전략적 요충으로서 북한 군부가 경원선 연결에 반발할 가능성이 있다는 점이다. 경원선 연결이 지체될 경우를 고려해 남-북-러 관계자들은 올해 안에 연결 예정인 경의선을 이용해 평양까지 간 다음 평라선(평양∼나진)을 이용해 고원(문산)∼청진∼나진∼두만강역∼하산으로 연결하는 방안을 검토하고 있다. 북한은 자신들의 정권 수립 기념일인 오는 9월 9일에 이 루트를 이용해 극동 러시아에서 생산된 곡물을 평양까지 시범 수송하는 계획을 추진 중인 것으로 알려졌다.
대상물류 홍성환 사장은 “부산항에서 유럽의 관문인 로테르담까지 해상운송 거리는 2만610km인 반면 같은 구간을 TSR를 통해 철도운송하면 1만2230km에 불과하다”고 말했다. 부산에서 선박으로 독일 함부르크까지 1TEU(1TEU는 20피트짜리 컨테이너 한 개를 말함)를 보낼 경우 기간은 한 달, 비용은 2300달러 정도다. 알렉산드르 첼코 러시아 철도부 차관은 기자회견에서 “국제 화물 정기운행열차(TSR)로 부산~함부르크 구간을 운송할 경우 기간은 10일, 비용은 889달러면 가능하다”고 밝혔다.
평양에서 담배 임가공사업을 하는 담배인삼공사는 올해부터 TSR나 중국횡단철도(TCRㆍTrans China Railway)를 이용해 중앙아시아 지역으로 담배를 수출할 계획이다. 이 루트를 이용하면 기존의 부산~아랍에미리트 선박운송 후 육로로 중앙아시아까지 가는 방식보다 운송비는 절반으로, 운송기간은 30일에서 10일로 단축할 수 있을 것으로 분석하고 있다.
푸틴 대통령이 TSR를 부산까지 연결하는 사업에 심혈을 기울이는 이유는 이것이 성사돼야만 시베리아와 러시아 극동 지역의" 경제개발(經濟 開發)"에 불을 당길 수 있기 때문이다.
개인의견 : 경원선은 한국 북한 러시아 일본이 중심이 되며, 장기적으로 미국은 태평양연안의 패권을 잃게되고 중국은 경제의 위축 및 소수민족들의 독립열풍이 예상되다는 얘기가 있습니다.
경원선연결 한탄강댐 백지화는 같은 맥락에서 보아야......
그리고 철원주민들이 댐문제을 자주적으로 슬기롭게 잘 해결 할 때 어떠한 지역현안도 해결 할 수 있는 자신과 우리의 미래에 대한 희망을 설계 할 수 있을 것 입니다.
그 과정의 시금석과 계기가 "댐문제일뿐" 입니다.
이는 잘못된 국책사업의 포기이며, 우리나라 행정개혁의 신호탄입니다.
이병화 국제농업개발원장(전 러시아연방정부 극동지역 경제자문위원)은 “극동 러시아는 석유 매장량 세계 2위, 천연가스 1위, 금 2위, 다이아몬드 2위, 임산물 3위, 수자원 5위 등 천연자원의 보고”라고 평가했다.
권영갑 한러문제연구소장은 “극동 러시아의 농지는 250만ha로 남한 전체 농지 200만ha보다 넓다.
여기에 농사를 지으면 남북한이 자급자족하고도 남을 정도”라고 설명했다.
이런 자원의 보고를 우리 경제와 연동시키기 위해서라도 TSR와 한반도 철도의 연결은 필수적이라는 것이다.
러시아가 시베리아 철도를 한반도에 연계하려는 더 다급한 이유가 있다. 극동 러시아 지역의 면적은 남한의 62배인 620만㎢지만 인구는 800만명에 불과하다.
반면 극동 러시아와 국경을 접하고 있는 중국 지역 인구는 7000만명. 연해주 지역은 원래 중국 영토였는데 19세기 중반 열강들의 힘에 밀려 제정 러시아로 넘어가면서 중국은 동해와 태평양으로 진출하는 항구를 잃었다.
뼈저린 역사를 만회하려는 듯 최근 들어 극동 러시아를 향한 한족의 대이동이 시작됐다.
극동 러시아 지역에서 생필품 장사는 중국인들이 차지한 지 오래다.
중국 정부는 모범 공무원과 민간인에게 여행비용의 70%를 보조하여 극동 러시아 지역 관광을 부추기고 있다. 이병화 원장은 “중ㆍ러 국경 검문소를 통해 매일 3000~5000명의 한족들이 건너와 극동 러시아 구석구석을 샅샅이 훑고 다니는 실정”이라고 말했다.
이 상태로 가면 극동 러시아 지역은 30년이 지나지 않아 한족 자치공화국화할지도 모른다.
이낙연 민주당 의원은 “이런 이유 때문에 러시아 지도부는 극동지역과 시베리아 개발을 위한 경협 파트너 물색 과정에서 한국과 러시아 내 한인(고려인)에게 큰 기대를 걸고 있다”고 말했다. 즉 극동 러시아 지역을 중국화하기 위해 인해전술을 펼치는 한족에 대한 방파제 역할을 러시아 내의 14만 고려인과 한국 기업, 북한 주민이 맡아 주길 은근히 기대하고 있는 것이다
. 이를 물 밑에서 지원하기 위해 러시아 지도부는 북ㆍ러 접경지역 일대에 고려인 자치공화국 설립도 긍정적으로 검토 중인 것으로 알려졌다.
■남ㆍ북ㆍ러 '3위일체식 공생 경협' 가능
러시아 지도부의 의도대로 이 지역에 고려인과 한국인들을 유인하려면 한국 기업이 대거 진출하여 고용 창출과 경제를 활성화하는 것이 급선무다.
이를 위해서는 한국과 극동 러시아를 철도로 연결하는 작업이 요구된다
그러나 기대에 비해 현실은 매우 불투명하다.
한ㆍ소수교 이후 한국 기업의 대러시아 투자는 1989년부터 지난해 7월까지 총 102건, 1억5000만달러에 불과했다. 이는 같은 기간에 행해진 한국의 해외 직접투자 금액의 0.56%, 대중국 투자금액 45억1000만달러의 30분의 1에 불과하다.
모라토리엄을 선언할 수밖에 없었던 러시아 경제는 1998년을 고비로 안정세를 되찾고 있다.
영국의 EIU(Economic Intelligence Unit) 보고서에 의하면 1998년 -4.9%였던 러시아의 GDP 성장률이 99년에는 3.2%, 지난해에는 5.5% 성장과 함께 600억달러의 무역수지 흑자를 기록했다.
올해는 3.0%의 건실한 성장이 예상된다. 전문가들은 사할린과 이르쿠츠크의 에너지자원 개발사업이 본격화하는 4~5년 후 러시아 경제는 대단한 활력을 찾을 것으로 전망하고 있다.
러시아 경제의 회생 이유에 대해 이번에 푸틴 대통령을 수행하고 온 유리 미하일로비치 텐(한국명 정홍식) 연방의회(하원) 의원은 “원유가가 크게 오른 데다 국영 기업의 사유화가 정착 단계에 들어섰기 때문”으로 해석했다.
이낙연 의원은 “극동 러시아가 자원과 에너지, 토지를 제공하고 남한의 자본과 기술, 북한의 노동력이 합쳐지면 남ㆍ북ㆍ러 3자 모두에 이득이 되는 ‘3위일체식 공생 경협’이 가능하다”고 강조한다.
현재 극동 러시아 지역에는 북한에서 벌목공 1만5000명, 농업노동자 1만명, 건설노동자 2000명, 광부 800명 등 3만명 정도가 취업하고 있다.
전문가들은 북한이 남북 평화 무드와 군축에 적극 호응하여 군 인력을 대거 극동 러시아 지역에 투입할 경우 남ㆍ북ㆍ러 경협팀은 에너지, 건설, 농업, 임업 등의 분야에서 세계적인 경쟁력을 가질 수 있을 것으로 기대하고 있다.
정보 소식통에 의하면 극동 러시아의 항카평원과 우수리평원 지역에는 구 소련 시절 동남아 사회주의 형제국에 식량 원조를 위해 대규모로 조성된 농경지가 유휴 상태로 방치돼 있다. 이곳의 토양 내 유기질 함량은 남한 0.5%, 북한 0.3%의 10배가 넘는 4.5~11%로 대단히 비옥하다.
러시아측은 이 지역의 콜호즈(국영농장)를 1만5000ha당 약 4억원(약 30만 달러) 정도에 매각, 혹은 장기 임대를 한국 기업에 제안해 놓고 있는 상황이다.
러시아와 남북한 고위층은 극동 러시아 지역의 국영농장을 한국 기업이 인수한 후 이곳에 저임 양질의 북한 노동력을 투입하여 농사를 짓고, 여기서 생산된 쌀과 콩, 옥수수 등을 북한에 반입해 북한의 식량문제를 해결한다는 구상을 극비리에 추진 중인 것으로 알려졌다.
그 대가로 북한은 한국에서 시베리아 철도로 움직이는 화물 통과료와 동해안 어장을 한국에 제공하는 방식으로 결제한다는 것이다.
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경의-경원선 연결 놓고
중국-러시아 치열한 암투
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시베리아 횡단철도(TRS)와 한반도 종단철도(TKRㆍTrans Korean Railway)의 연결은 휴전선으로 허리가 잘린 경원선 복원이 전제되어야 가능하다.
정부는 지난 91년 경원선 단절 구간인 신탄리~군사분계선 16.2km의 복원을 위한 실시설계를 마쳤고, 98년에는 용지 매입에 착수했다.
당시 건교부는 남한 쪽 신탄리~군사분계선 구간 철도 복원에 866억원, 북한 쪽 군사분계선~평강 14.8km 복원에 1732억원 등 총 2598억원의 예산과 36개월의 기간이 소요될 것으로 분석했다.
우리 정부가 경의선 연결을 위한 노반 정지작업을 벌이는 동안 러시아와 북한은 지난해 경원선 연결에 대한 대원칙에 합의했다. 상황 파악을 잘못한 김대중 정부는 지난해 8월 러시아 대표단이 한국을 방문했을 때 러시아측에 ‘경의선을 통해 신의주∼중국∼시베리아 철도를 연결한다’는 ‘철의 실크로드’프로젝트를 열심히 설명했다.
정부 선전대로 물동량이 경의선을 타고 중국을 거쳐 시베리아 철도로 향할 경우 실익은 중국으로 흘러가 극동 러시아 지역의 경제가 무력화될 위험이 크다.
이것이 러시아를 크게 자극하여 지난해 이한동 총리가 러시아를 방문했을 때 푸틴 대통령에게 면담을 거절당하는 등 외교적 수모를 당한 것이다. 아울러 러시아는 한국측에 ‘경의선과 TSR을 타고 오는 화물은 TSR 이용 불가’입장을 통보했다.
정부의 ‘경의선’홍보는 중국으로부터도 곱지 않은 눈총을 받고 있다.
중국은 상하이 이북의 경우 다롄항을 제외하고는 국제적인 물동량을 소화할 만한 항구가 없다. 다롄항도 수심이 낮아 5000TEU급 이상의 대형 컨테이너선은 입항이 불가능하다.
경의선이 활성화되어 물동량이 부산~신의주~TCR~TSR 축으로 흐르면 중국 정부가 심혈을 기울여 개발한 다롄항의 입지가 크게 흔들린다. 때문에 중국은 오래 전부터 ‘부산항에서 환적된 화물이 경의선을 타고 중국으로 오는 것은 절대 불가’ 입장을 천명하고 있다.
중국의 동북 3성(요령성, 길림성, 흑룡강성) 지역은 극동 러시아와 북한에 의해 바다로의 출구가 막혀 있다.
이곳에서 생산되는 곡물과 석탄을 외국에 팔기 위해서는 출해구 확보가 생명인 흑룡강성 정부는 북한의 나진과 청진항 사용권을 얻기 위해 김책제철소에 코크스탄 30만t을 제공했으며 중국에서 나진, 청진으로 이어지는 철도 현대화 비용을 중국이 부담한다는 제안을 내놓았다.
이 제안이 현실화되면 러시아는 TSR의 연결로상에 있는 나진과 청진에 대한 기득권을 중국에 빼앗기게 된다.
러시아는 중국을 견제하고 시베리아 철도의 연결사업을 기정사실화하기 위해 지난해 푸틴 대통령의 방북 직후 10여년 동안 공급을 중단했던 승리화학공장에 원유를 파이프라인을 통해 공급한 바 있다.
출해구 확보에 목을 매고 있는 중국과 극동 시베리아 개발의 시동을 걸고 있는 러시아의 기싸움을 우리의 국익 실현으로 연결하는 지혜가 필요한때다.
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What this means is that manufacturer voluntarily built the product to help reduce greenhouse gases and meet non-regulatory guidelines offered by the Environmental Protection Agency. Compressors take the refrigerant charge in your unit, compress it and then pump it out to cool down the fridge and freezer.... Commercial Heating & Cooling Repair Services Location of outdoor unit.
Buy the basic systems. I was reassured there was NO penalty in doing this. https://budget.yourhvac.pw/iowa/inwood/weekend-residential-oil-boiler-installation-contractor-near-me-inwood-ia-51240.p hp You can also find an installer at contractor associations such as the Air Conditioning Contractors of America. -[06/11-22:31]-
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If you are unable to receive your items in person, you can choose to have the delivery left unattended during Checkout Outside Delivery service only.. Mini Split Repair Sylmar CA 91392 If air quality is so important and duct cleaniliness is so uncertain, why not adopt doubling filtering; that is, in addition to the existing main furnace filter, add a filter at each air outlet. -[06/24-11:55]-
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